Arizona is a blasted hellscape

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Thad
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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Thad » Mon Mar 25, 2019 8:28 pm

Ruben Gallego has dropped out of the race for McCain / McSally's Senate seat, leaving Mark Kelly (astronaut and husband of Gabby Giffords, for those who don't remember) as the sole Democratic candidate (at least for now).

I'd prefer Gallego to Kelly, but there are a lot of reasons this may be the right call. Kelly is the more electable candidate (though he's still looking at a tough row to hoe running as a pro-gun control candidate in Arizona), and the likely result of a Kelly / Gallego race would be Kelly winning and Gallego not only losing the primary but giving up his House seat to do it. I'd rather keep him where he is (which is the same reason I don't want Stanton to run for Senate).

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Bal
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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Bal » Tue Mar 26, 2019 5:16 pm

While not being particularly familiar with Kelly's personal politics, his wife was my Congresswoman for a long time, and his opponent was too. I agree that he's much more electable, and at this point I'm most interested in getting rid of McSally.


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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Thad » Fri Apr 19, 2019 10:01 am

...man, don't do that; that's the sort of thing that could quite plausibly actually happen.

Actual headline is "Scorpion jeopardizes Arizona senator's milking thumb ahead of cow milking competition".

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Bal
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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Bal » Fri Apr 19, 2019 9:45 pm

I definitely believed that headline at first glance, so please no, we have enough problems. Summer is coming.

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mharr
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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby mharr » Sun Apr 21, 2019 12:01 am

The best detail is the bit where she's never milked a cow in her life and is just joining in because it's a street party. It's all so very local news, which is a nice place to escape to now and then.

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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Thad » Tue Aug 13, 2019 1:27 pm

Curt Schilling, best remembered in Arizona as the Diamondbacks' second-best pitcher and, presumably, best remembered in Rhode Island for that time his game company got a $75 million state loan guarantee and then went bankrupt, says he's mulling a congressional run against one of Arizona's five Democratic reps. He hasn't said which one, but if he's serious it'll be O'Halleran or Kirkpatrick; I think he's got a pretty slim chance against either of them, but no chance at all against the other three.

Hey Curt, you sure you wouldn't rather primary one of the Republicans? You can't be any worse than Gosar or Lesko, can you?

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beatbandito
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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby beatbandito » Tue Aug 13, 2019 1:56 pm

Or at least make a follow-up to Revelations*.


*reckoning, how could I ever not tell the difference between those two subtitles
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Bal
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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Bal » Wed Aug 14, 2019 11:38 pm

Is he even well liked here? The Diamondbacks haven't been relevant in years, and he didn't even live in AZ for years.

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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Thad » Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:20 am

I wouldn't exactly put it past Arizona voters to support a right-wing celebrity based on a hazily-remembered conception of past glory.

Like I said, I think his chances in districts 3, 7, and 9 are nil and his chances in 1 and 2 are slim (though you presumably know more about 2 than I do). But I think he'd totally have a shot in any of the districts currently held by Republicans. Gosar said the Nazi march in Charlottesville was a false flag set up by liberals to discredit Trump and then won reelection by 38 points. Yeah, I think Curt Schilling could carry Gosar's district. I even think he'd probably be an improvement.

Lesko's roughly as batshit as Gosar is. Schweikert's under investigation. Biggs...as far as I know is a pretty conventional Arizona Republican; he's a snake but seems to be a more conventional snake than the other three.

As for Schilling, he could just be making noise. (Remember when Kid Rock was talking about running for Senate?) This could just be a bid for attention and may come to nothing. Or it could be a vanity campaign, like Arpaio's run for Senate. If he runs for one of the districts where he has no chance, then it's a vanity campaign; he's just in it to get attention. If he runs in district 1 or 2, he might be serious but it's not going to be easy for him.

A lot of 2020 is going to come down to the presidential election, and it's tough to guess how that's going to go. It's quite possible we're teetering on the edge of a recession and if we fall over that edge then I think Trump is well and truly fucked; he's hanging on to a 42% approval rating entirely on the strength of the economy. But if the economy remains stable, he's got a shot at reelection.

I don't think any of Arizona's House seats are likely to change -- district 1 and/or 2 might swing Republican in a Republican wave year, but McSally's Senate seat is the one that's likelist to be a close race.

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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Thad » Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:35 am

PS I'm on a VPN and can't edit Wikipedia, but would someone mind editing Andy Biggs's page? It claims his district is the same district John McCain used to represent, which is bullshit; McCain left the House 25 years before the current district lines were drawn.

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François
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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby François » Thu Aug 15, 2019 4:00 am

Got you covered fam.

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Bal
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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Bal » Fri Aug 16, 2019 10:21 pm

I can't imagine Schilling being competitive in any of the major districts down here. It took McSally to take down Barber, and she's much more big time than this guy. Not to mention how established Kirkpatrick is in Arizona politics. No chance against Grijalva, and he'd be primarying another republican in the 8th district.

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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Thad » Mon Aug 26, 2019 1:47 am

If he runs, Curt Schilling says he would take on Rep. Tom O'Halleran

And speaking of assholes running ill-conceived vanity campaigns: Joe Arpaio Says He Will Run Again for Maricopa County Sheriff.

My first reaction was laughter. This is a grift. Everything Arpaio does is a grift. He doesn't have much of a shot.

But he's got a lot more of a shot than he did at the Senate. I am concerned at his decision to set a more modest and attainable goal. It feels a little bit more like he's serious this time and this is a real campaign.

I still don't think he'll pull it off. He lost by double digits last time. But it's enough to make me worry a little.

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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Thad » Wed Aug 28, 2019 6:26 pm

Proposition 105: Phoenix voters on track to continue light-rail extensions

They're still counting the votes, so it's not a done deal yet, but it doesn't look close.

The Koch brothers poured a bunch of money into this (among various other efforts to kill public transit throughout the country; Hasan Minhaj had a recent episode on the subject). Nice to see them defeated, especially when it's decisive.

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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Thad » Wed Oct 09, 2019 12:32 pm

Maricopa County Assessor accused of human smuggling, sale of a child in adoption scheme

In my county's defense, this story came out after he was elected. Twice. But still, Jesus, we sure can pick 'em. As long as he's got "(REP)" next to his name on the ballot, amirite?

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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby Brentai » Wed Oct 09, 2019 12:48 pm

It's a feature, not a bug.
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beatbandito
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Re: Arizona is a blasted hellscape

Postby beatbandito » Wed Oct 09, 2019 1:09 pm

Actually probably one of the least-bad cases of a person in that position involved in Human Trafficking.

Pretty disturbed to realize that if it weren't for the lies about the mother's residency this is otherwise just completely legal adoption.
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