"Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

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hngkong
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby hngkong » Thu May 28, 2020 10:09 am

Honestly, my fear is that 100,000 isn't even going to be considered a milestone at the end of it all.

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Friday
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Friday » Thu May 28, 2020 6:59 pm

Given the expected vaccine is still a year away (summer 2021) and how second and third wave dynamics work, yeah, I'd say 1 million dead americans is a safe bet in the year(s) to come. x20 or so worldwide.

I sincerely hope I am wrong. I'd love nothing more for me to quote this post in a year, with only, say, 250000 dead, and say, "Thank God I was wrong."
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby beatbandito » Thu May 28, 2020 8:05 pm

I think you're wrong Friday. Not about American numbers, about the worldwide numbers. I think other countries have mostly learned.
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Friday
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Friday » Fri May 29, 2020 12:03 am

Yeah, could be. I mean, I'm one-billion percent in the "please let be wrong" place. But I don't make deals with my emotions when I deal with numbers.

China and their lack of reporting aside, India and Russia worry me. Perhaps 20x was overly cynical, 5-10x (so 5 to 10 million dead worldwide instead of 20) might be more accurate.

Again, I'm speaking of numbers that are a year to two years away.
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Brentai
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Brentai » Fri May 29, 2020 12:55 am

Don't worry, by that time we'll have stopped counting deaths by COVID as such.
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Büge » Fri May 29, 2020 11:03 am



sure, why not
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Mongrel » Fri May 29, 2020 1:40 pm

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François
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby François » Fri May 29, 2020 4:41 pm

They don't give a precise number for the monkeys but let's just guess twelve.

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Mongrel
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Mongrel » Fri May 29, 2020 6:07 pm

François wrote:They don't give a precise number for the monkeys but let's just guess twelve.

Have all my +1 updoots.
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Mongrel » Sun May 31, 2020 8:00 pm

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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby pacobird » Mon Jun 01, 2020 11:38 pm

François wrote:They don't give a precise number for the monkeys but let's just guess twelve.


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Mongrel
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Mongrel » Wed Jun 03, 2020 10:11 pm

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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Mongrel » Sun Jun 07, 2020 9:40 pm



Surprising no one with so much as two neurons to rub together (no such people were available in Governor Florida Man's office, sadly).
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Thad
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Thad » Mon Jun 08, 2020 1:15 am

New Zealand is now free of coronavirus

No new cases reported in 17 days. They've drawn down to alert level 1 and nonessential businesses are reopening, but borders are still closed (so please don't go getting any ideas, Mr. Gaiman).

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Mongrel
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Mongrel » Mon Jun 08, 2020 2:13 pm

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... f=hI1gXe5T

The virus has now caused some 7 million reported cases of Covid-19, with more than 400,000 fatalities. Published Monday in the journal Nature, the first peer-reviewed analysis of the impact of health policies suggests that the toll would have been vastly worse without lockdowns, social distancing, travel restrictions and other interventions. Many coronavirus infections are relatively mild, and most of the roughly 500 million averted cases would have gone undetected, according to the study.


China: 37 million confirmed cases, 285 million total cases
South Korea: 11.5 million confirmed, 38 million total
Italy: 2.1 million confirmed, 49 million total
Iran: 5 million confirmed, 54 million total
France: 1.4 million confirmed, 45 million total
U.S.: 4.8 million confirmed, 60 million total

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2404-8

(the confirmed/total is tracking how many cases would have been tested positive for vs unreported)
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Mongrel
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Mongrel » Thu Jun 18, 2020 9:19 pm



someone pointed out that they're missing an opportunity to require them and then sell masks for $20 a piece at concessions
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Friday
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Friday » Thu Jun 18, 2020 9:34 pm

When basic safety measures that are proven to save lives become "political controversy", you know you are living in a fucking joke of a government.

Imagine being told that AMC theatres would not be removing the autonomous killer drones that roam the halls, eliminating any lifeform they encounter, because some dickheads somewhere don't believe in them.
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mharr
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby mharr » Thu Jun 18, 2020 9:57 pm

I wish it was just some dickheads somewhere, but half the people I know have no idea what this virus is, how it can be a global threat when previous media panics weren't, which numbers to believe if any and how much of this is just the illuminati fucking with them. Given the decades our civilization has spent teaching everyone not to trust the authorities I don't really blame them.

It doesn't help that the lockdown forced all the extroverts to sit around reading the internet all day, their bullshit filters were not up to it and now every pub in the land is full of serious debates about the relative merits of time cube theory.

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Mongrel
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Re: "Coronavirus" is the category, dangit. (COVID-19 thread)

Postby Mongrel » Thu Jun 18, 2020 10:16 pm

mharr wrote:about the relative merits of time cube theory.


Damned educated stupid word animals!
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