Postby Thad » Tue Jul 30, 2019 10:29 pm
I don't think tonight's debate will move the needle much. Going in, the notable candidates were Sanders, Warren, and, to a lesser extent, Buttigieg; this debate hasn't done anything to change that. And the thing about having two debates in a week is that after tomorrow nobody's going to be talking about tonight anymore.
Williamson's doing a surprisingly good job, but I think a lot of that comes down to low expectations. In the end, she's still Marianne Williamson. This might bump her a few points, but I don't expect it'll do more than that. (I was, of course, dead-nuts wrong about Trump's chances, and any predictions I make are best considered in that context. But the Democratic primary system is different than the Republican one, and I don't think Democrats are clamoring for an inexperienced celebrity, even if she says the right things.)
Probably doesn't help that tonight's crowd is so white, either. Damn RNG gods decided to put all the POC in tomorrow's debate.