Friday wrote:My prediction remains the same: Trump's most viable path to doing a coup is to do a coup.
But I also think any attempt will fail. I also think it's more likely that an attempt will not be made then one will be made.
But, you know. I also think that if there was going to be a coup from a President, it's a lot more likely from this one than any other.
He's been attempting a coup for the past six weeks. As I said over in the Biden thread, that's a serious problem, even if it's been laughably incompetent and failed at every step.
If you mean a military coup, I suppose the odds of Trump attempting one are nonzero but they're near-zero. His actions over the past weeks indicate that he's worked out that nobody who can actually make a difference has his back on this; not swing-state governors or legislators and not the courts. Everything he's doing now is performative; it's to rile up his base. I don't think it's a sign that he's ramping up a plan to tell the military to ignore the election and keep him in power.
Also, motherfucker can't keep a secret like that. If that's what he were planning to do, he'd have said so on TV by now.
Last I heard, he was planning to hold a rally at the same time as Biden's inauguration. I don't think that's subterfuge; I think that's exactly what he's going to do.
Also, I think we should start talking about the very real possibility that he declares himself the true government in exile. Or rather, not if he will (because he will, regardless if he leaves the country, is jailed, or just starts his own news network) but how seriously people are going to take it, at all levels of society.
Yeah, that's the question. He's already thrown the next election into disarray, because no Republican wants to start ramping up for a 2024 campaign while Trump's still raging about this election and threatening to run again in 2024.
How much people treat Trump like he's really the president-in-exile is a very good question. I think most people will ignore his nonsense, but enough could go along with it to cause real trouble.